World Association of International Studies -- WAIS

by Ronald Hilton see WAIS Site at Stanford University Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking above or go to: http://wais.stanford.edu/ E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

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Saturday, August 21, 2004

The Democrat Convention

Posted belatedly is this report on the Democrat Convention from Peter Orne: "A friend who is a manager at the Park Plaza Hotel & Towers complained to me that the Sheraton is getting all the celebrities for the Democratic National Convention, including Michael Moore and Leonardo DiCaprio. When Leonardo checked in, young women swarmed around him, and the hotel staff had to pull him behind the front desk and secrete im to his room through a back route. Twenty minutes later, Leo returned, blithely talking on his cell phone as though nothing had happened, and causing
much brow sweating among the staff.

My friend did a 3:00 to 11:00 shift at the Plaza and was stuck caring for delegates from New York and Delaware as well as many national campaign staff. "They all think they are John Kerry," she says. "They want this and that, and I tell them they have to stay in the same room for the whole week." Having seen both Bill Clinton and George W. Bush dawdle in her lobby over the past year, she says the higher-up guys are a lot nicer and friendlier. "It's the smaller guys that are the worst, and there are a lot of them."

I was quite surprised when she told me that John Edwards actually gets the top-floor presidential suite at the Plaza. Edwards and his family will be staying there for the week. Kerry, of course, owns his own penthouse on Louisburg Square on Beacon Hill, and he ust paid back the $6.4-million mortgage he made on it last fall when his presidential hopes were dwindling.  So it's Edwards who'll be doing most of the dawdling at the Plaza. And we'll see what sort of Southern hospitality Edwards can bring to a town better known for hospitals"

Geneviève de Gaulle Anthonioz, 1920-2002

From Paris David Pike sent a much appreciated contribution to the WAIS survival and development fund.  On the envelope were two stamps, which I will pass on to the WAIS honorary treasure, Fred Hansson.  Too bad stamps are disappearing, since they are beautiful and informative.  One of the stamps bears a portrait of Geneviève de Gaulle  Anthonioz, the niece of the General,  Born in  1920, she died in 2002. The stamp commemorates her noble life, as told in the film "Sisters in Resistance"  "It tells the story of four French women of uncommon courage: Geneviève de Gaulle-Anthonioz, Germaine Tillon, Anise Postel-Viany and Jacqueline Pery d'Alincourt, who, in their teens and twenties, risked their lives to fight the Nazi occupation of their country. Neither Jews nor Communists, they were in no danger of arrest before they joined the Resistance. They could have remained safe at home. But they chose to resist. Within two years all four were arrested by the Gestapo and deported as political prisoners to the hell of Ravensbrück concentration camp, where they helped one another survive. Today, elderly but still very active, they continue to push forward as social activists and intellectual leaders in their fields. The film captures their amazing lives, and reveals an uncommon, intense bond of friendship that survives to this day". The other stamp shows a woman, unidentified, leaning over a table.  It may well be Geneviève, an appropriate name, since Saint Geneviève (420-512), the patron saint of Paris, reassured the Parisians that they had nothing to fear from Attila the Hun, whon would fail to take the city, Too bad she could not thwart the modern Attila, Hitler, She was honored in the 18th century with a huge church, which the secular government took over and renamed the Pantheon. It is the burial place for "all the gods",and dedicated to the great men by the grateful fatherland, What male chauvinism! The building is still decorated with paintings telling the life of Sainte Geneviève, but whether her bones survived the revolutionary turmoil I do not know. Madame Curie is buried there (an honorary man). The resistance leader Jean Moulin is buried there, so certainly Geneviève de Gaulle deserves to be.  I do not know where she is buried.  She was a devout Catholic (she was arrested as she left Notre Dame, where she had attended mass). She might not feel comfortable surrounded by all those anticlerical men-

Speaking of stamps, I have received a letter from Linda Nyquist bearing large stamps showing a beagle. This comes just after I posted the item about Jaqui White with her beagle.  Has the US gone beagle crazy? Seen one beagle, seen 'em all. "Beagle" comes from the French "beguele". meaning wide throat, referring to its bark. This may disappoint Jaqui, who is crazy about the bald eagle, abridged to beagle. Sorry,Jaqui.  All they have in common is your admiration for them.


Re: Jesus illiterate?

Jim Bowman writes: "Anthony Smith is correct that Jesus was writing on the ground.   However this would be a shaky passage from which to draw the conclusion that Jesus was literate.  First, the passage itself is suspect, from John 7:51 through 8:11, not being found in important older manuscripts.  Secondly, KATAGRAPHO, (as compared with GRAPHO) can also mean "draw figures or pictures."  Third, the passage does not say what it is that Jesus wrote; the words cited were spoken by Jesus, not written.  In fact, there has always been enormous speculation about the validity of this story, and then if the story is true, what it was Jesus was doodling. 
 
However, there are numerous passages which support the idea that Jesus was literate.
  
1. In Luke 2, at the age of 12,  he was among the teachers at the temple. He was "listening to to them and asking them questions.  All who heard him were astonished at his powers of comprehension and at the answers that he gave (ver. Phillips)"  One assumes logically that these discussions were concerning the Scriptures, and that Jesus' knowledge came from the reading of them (which is supported categorically in item 4 to follow).
 
2.  Jesus' substantial and frequent quotation of the Old Testament.   Too many passages to cite.  The logical conclusion is that his in-depth knowledge of the Old Testament came from his reading of it.
 
3.  Jesus' chiding of the Scribes' knowledge and interpretation of the Scriptures with the phrase, "have you not read....?"    (Matthew   21, Luke 6).  This supports the concept that one has knowledge of the Scriptures through reading. 
 
If anything else is needed, this passage supports his literate abilities categorically:
 
4.  Luke 4:16-18:  Jesus returns to Nazareth where he was brought up.  The passage notes: "..and as was his custom he entered the Synagogue on the Sabbath, and stood up to read. And the book of the prophet Isaiah was handed to him, and he opened the book and found the place where it is written...(then he reads the passage out loud)."

Oklahoma hackles

I knew that Randy Black's reference to "lowly Oklahoma" would raise some hackles. a situation which is unWAIS: From Stockton, California Les Robinson writes: "Well, I too am Sooner born, Sooner bred and will be Sooner dead. Rah, Oklahoma, Rah, Oklahoma!  Well, not quite:  I guess I'll be California dead".  RH: "Sooner: Any person who occupies homestead land, as in the western United States; a native of Oklahoma". All those state nicknames seem crazy to me. I'd sooner be called an Oklahoman, or an Oklahuman. I guess the nickname "sooner" is an abbreviation for "I'd sooner be in California".  When I came to California in 1937. the Oakies were pouring in. I was introduced to the police chief of Los Angeles. On the wall of his office was  poster proclaiming
"California, here we come"
Chief  Davis, keep 'em on the run.
He took me to the shooting range where his men were practicing. I told him that in England the police were unarmed. He muttered something like "sissies!" I wonder if he ever met Steinbeck?

Re: Geoffrey Chaucer

From the Athens of Texas, Randy Black writes: "In my high school senior English literature class in Dallas, 1965, our "old as dirt" teacher, Mrs. Stewart, required us to learn at least 30 lines of the Canterbury Tales prologue in Middle English. I got into a contest with two of my pals, one destined for Harvard, the other for Princeton, me for lowly Oklahoma, and before I knew it, we had memorized about 200 lines or more. It was a mess to begin with, but once you got the hang of the lyrics, and had a grasp of the language as it was then, it seemed to flow right along. I recall that we studied/listened to long play record albums of the actor David Niven's recitations of the Middle English verse. (Texas is not all hicks playing football and and basketweaving classes for the players.) I can still recite about the first 50 lines of the prologue to this day. It still haunts me from time to time, usually after a bit too much Tequila".
 
Here's a link: http://www.librarius.com/canttran/gptrfs.htm
 
 RH: The University of Oklahoma lowly? It has some WAISers.

Chaucer and Genghis Khan

Bill Ratliff comments on the posting about Chaucer: "The most interesting recent reference I have found to Chaucer was at the front of a book by Jack Weatherford called Genghis Khan and the Making of the Modern World. It is a re-evaluation of the historical role of Genghis Khan and the Mongols, arguing that the view of him as simply or largely a big-time cutthroat that savaged massive slices of the world is a modern and misguided reading of the figure's true role in history. Weatherford begins by quoting several lines (in italics) from the following remarks on Genghis Khan made by Chaucer's Squire.

At Sarra, in the land of Tartary,
There dwelt a king that warrayed* Russie, <2> *made war on
Through which there died many a doughty man;
This noble king was called Cambuscan,<3>
Which in his time was of so great renown,
That there was nowhere in no regioun
So excellent a lord in alle thing:
Him lacked nought that longeth to a king,
As of the sect of which that he was born.
He kept his law to which he was y-sworn,
And thereto* he was hardy, wise, and rich, *moreover, besides
And piteous and just, always y-lich;* *alike, even-tempered
True of his word, benign and honourable;
*Of his corage as any centre stable;* *firm, immovable of spirit*
Young, fresh, and strong, in armes desirous
As any bachelor of all his house.
A fair person he was, and fortunate,
And kept alway so well his royal estate,
That there was nowhere such another man".

RH; This brings us to a complicated `poblem in our learning history project. The traditional view of  Genghis Khan was that he was a brutal conqueror. Like many historians, Jack Weatherford likes to make history by revising it. Using documents recently discovered in Mongolia, he depicts Genghis Khan as a pacifier who created a great empire which linked China with the West.  The History Channel has run a superb documentary on China's Great Wall; in it  Genghis Khan appears as a brutal monster. I tend to accept that view; probably some future revisionist historian will use a similar argument to redeem Stalin.  The question is: how did Chaucer's Squire get this benevolent view of him? This is like the question I asked myself as a schoolboy: how did Coleridge become infatuated with Genghis Khan's grandson Kublai Khan, who did a pleasure dome decree? In both cases I think March Polo was responsible He had an enormous readership, including Christopher Columbus. While I view it as obvious, is there documentary proof that Chaucer read Marco Polo? Does Marco Polo mention Genghis Khan?About two years ago a British scholar infuriated Italians by concluding that he never went to China. In any case, Marco Polo's praise of  Kublai Khan must be read with caution. The Chinese viewed the Mongols as outsiders. Whatever his qualities, Kublai Khan engaged in futile military expeditions, trying to emulate his grandfather. His attempt to conquer Japan failed.  What do Japanese history books say about him? The Chinese resented his regime. Kublai Kham died in 1294.  The short-lived Yuan dynasty was finally overthrown in 1368. Can Bill, a China expert, tell us what Chinese history books say about Genghis Khan (negative?) and Kublai Khan (mixed?)? My guess is that the Chinese today are not wildly friendly toward Mongolia, long a Soviet satellite.
 

Friday, August 20, 2004

The Olympics (again)

I briefly watched the  Olympica on TV:  in what I suppose was volleyball: two young Brazilian and two young German women tossed a ball over a net on what looked like a sandy beach. Brazilian women are normally charming, but these two Brazilians looked at the Germans with the hard, indeed nasty look I have seen on the faces of some women executives.  I strongly advise against marrying a female volleyball player. Then I watched a little Chinese man (Chinaman is not pc) lift a bar with weights adding up to 350 (or was it 150?) kilos above his head. He then let it drop; fortunately it did not hit his foot.  He looked very proud, but the exercise seemed pointless to me.  He was back where he started. TV has enhanced the triumphalist aspect of sports, to the detriment of the game for the game's sake.  Is weight lifting s game? As a game, it's a turkey.

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

RE: AVINA and j`y

In the posting on AVINA, I said the church preferred "joy" as the translation of "alergia". Tor Guimaraes comments: "As a Brazilian, I don’t know which meaning the Church prefers, but alegria means happiness, not joy".  RH: Surely felicidade means happiness.´Alegria is stronger. One more example of the problem of finding exact translations.
 

Schmidheiny, Hurden, Ashoka

From Lake Zürich, Margaret Mackenzie comments on the posting about AVINA: "The world is so small!  I have
forwarded your comment to Stephan Schmidheiny. I am an artist in residence at the Futur Foundation, founded by Thomas Schmidheiny, his brother! (The art is the smallest aspect of it:  the rest is for innovative young entrepreneurs, drawn from the local hochschule,  who are awarded three years here to develop their technological/engineering/electronic ideas and business plans). Hurden is simply across the Seedam from here in Rapperswil on the southern side of the lake--yes, it is small, but historically richly significant.  I have walked to it across a wooden bridge that has been restored in the last few years.  Ashoka was the ruler in India who conquered more of it than anyone else had about 300BC.  After all his victories, he was sickened by war, and revolted at the slaughter.  He became an advocate of peace and had a long reign that was peaceful. He became Buddhist, and Buddhism became the official religion of a large part of India at that time.  It was he who had those magnificent immense stone gates built that are some of the masterpieces of Indian sculptural art. 
 
I have actually had the immense good fortune of visiting the library in Einsiedeln, and it is as magnificent as you imagined.  It was so overwhelming to be in the presence of those astounding early books and ancient manuscripts, that I found myself gazing speechlessly there.   The Schmidheiny father was here, founded one of the main cement companies in the world, Holderbank, which was at Holderbank near Lenzburg, and is now Holcim.  It was overseen by Thomas Schmidheiny until a couple of years ago, and would be likely to be the source of Stephan Schmidheiny's endowment.  It has extensive plants in Mexico and I think, in South America--not to mention every other continent.  I think it is the second biggest cement company in the world.  The family came from the area near the Rhine, beyond Chur and up towards Bodensee, and still there is the family vineyard there".

RH: Ib was puzzled by the syntax of GrupoNueva. Edgar Knowlton writes: "I found grupo nueva vida as a missionary organization, and also a grupo nueva generacion related to music. This is suggestive for  the syntax".  RH: In other words, vida (life) or generación should be understood. Einsiedeln is the most famous pilgrim shrine in Switzerland.I wonder why Margaret was allowed to see the library and I was not.  Perhaps she has a more coaxing manner. WAIS leads to unforeseen problems, such as jurisdiction over Lake Zürich, whose  shores are divided among three cantons: Zürich, Schwyz and St. Gallen. Switzerland is a confederation, not a federation, which means that the cantons are in theory sovereign. The law becomes complicated. The Caspian See is defined as a sea, not a lake. which means that international law prevails.  An additional problem is that in German there is der See (lake) and die See (sea, ocean). The Bodensee is bordered by thee states: Germany, Switzerland and Austria.  We call it Lake Constance, but it is technically international. Both it and Lake Zürich are "der See", but I wonder if that solves the problem. Surely there are arguments, say about fish, along the three states bordering the Bodensee and the three canrons bordering Lake Zûrich?

I am grateful to Margaret and Christian Leitz for having  yanked y attention to India; I was trying to decipher ASHOKA as a Latin American acronym!  Ashoka  has a special interest for me since he sent Buddhist missionaries as far as the Mediterranean. I am tempted to accept the theory that Jesus, influenced by them, went to India to study during his missing years. But what about Bactria, the holy place of Zoroastrianism?  Surely it was on the way to India? Zoroastrianism is said to have influences Christianity.  Was in through Jesus himself? This is a vast subject whose discussion must be left for a WAISer day. The conversion of Ashoka reminds me of John Kerry's testimony before Congres.




 

Thursday, August 19, 2004

Re: Ideology is dandy, but bizness is bizness (encore)

Tim Ashby comments: "The hypocrisy cited by John Heelan et al is also a major factor in our Cuban policy.  Some of the most virulent anti-Castro exiles have made investments in Cuba via offshore corporations.  I suspect that they want to maintain the embargo as long as possible to keep out other American investors.  The US government is aware of this illegal business (I saw intelligence reports on these investments when I was at the US Commerce Department), but the White House turns a blind eye for political reasons because the perpetrators donate millions to the Republican party and have enough dirt on both George W. and Jeb Bush to fill a hundred Orrick vacuum cleaners!" RH: As for the last statement, "Just the facts, Maam".

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

AVINA

For years, Peter Cleaves was the motor of the Latin American program of the University of Texas.  Then he went to Switzerland and returned to Austin as Executive Director of the AVINA Fiundation. I posted an account of the 2002 annual report of the foundation, and now Peter has sent me the handsome 2003 report. In the US. successful businessmen like Carnegie have end endowed foundations, or universities like Stanford.  Unfortunately such generosity is rare in Europe and Latin America. AVINA is young; it was inspired by the  1992 Rio Earth Summit.  Incidentally, Senator Heinz attended that summit, accompanied as an interpreter by Teresa, who became his wife and after his death married John Kerry. AVINA was founded ten years ago by Stephan Schmidheiny, who presumably met Teresa Heinz at the summit, which had consequences we did not suspect at the time. The Latin American companies created by  Schmidheiny formed the GrupoNueva. He donated all its stock to the VIVA Trust, which funds AVINA, for a total of $1.1 billion.  He has turned over the presidency to Brizio Biondi-Morra, who sounds like a Brazilian he met at the Earth Summit.  Schmidheiny  also founded the World Business Council for Sustainable Development and the FUNDES Foundation, which works with more than 40,000 small businesses. Schmidheiny must be a Catholic (his name sounds Hungarian), since AVINA works with the Jesuit educational foundation Fe y Alegría, with its 31,000 teachers and 29 Jesuit universities. There is no mention of the Opus Dei, a modern organization which competes with the Jesuits. I am glad that faith brings alegría, but should we translate the word as happiness or joy, which the Church prefers? Among the photographs are two large and beautiful ones of church interiors. One, presumably in Brazil, shows a string orchestra and choir before a baroque altar. Psalm  98 says " With trumpets and sound of cornets, make a joyful noise before the Lord". The string instruments in the picture are much later Italian developments; they go well with the baroque altar.

In view of its origins, it would seem natural that AVINA is strongly represented in Brazil, where it has six offices (Brasília,, Curitiba, Manaus, Recife, Rio de Janeiro, Salvador),  What is its attitude toward liberation theology, which has its roots in Brazil?.  What is the attitude of the Jesuits, who work closely with AVINA, toward liberation theology? AVINA has  four offices in Argentina (two in Buenos Aires, Cordoba, Patagonia), three in Costa Rica (All in San José) two in Chile (Chillán, Santiago) and Spain (Barcelona and Mallorca), and one in  Bolivia (Santa Cruz), Panama City, Paraguay,, Peru, Portugal, and Uruguay. AVINA is headquartered in Hurden, Sitzerland, which must be a small place or a suburb, since I cannot locate it; presumably the founder lives there.  It is registered in Panama, as many corporations are. Otherwise Mesoamerica is represented only by Costa Rica. The University of Texas is known as an important center of Mexican studies, so it is odd that AVINA is not active there. Perhaps it was not made welcome, perhaps  Schmidheiny had no activities there.

I am happy to post this information about AVINA, an important organization little known in the US. It is clearly doing important work in bringing hope and encouragement to people who deserve a better life. The beneficial role of the Jesuits is also interesting, since they have been the target of so much abuse from the secular left. That seems to have died down, perhaps in recognition of the Jesuits' good deeds.  I am as usual confused. I do not understand the syntax of GrupoNueva, In do not even know what the acronym AVINA stands for, The report includes statements from different countries. One describes a US based organization which works with AVINA, named Ashoka,  whatever that means. One of its first fellows was Gloria de Souza, an Indian teacher, despite her name. I guess she came from Goa, but do you wonder that I am bewildered?  I would be glad to post any corrections or explanations by Peter, on the condition that he does not use incomprehensible words or acronyms which would baffle me even more.

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Internationale Schulbuchforschung/International Textbook Research

Internationale  Schulbuchforschung/International Textbook Research, now in its 26th year, is published by the Georg Eckert Institute for Textbook Research in Hannover, Germany. and edited by its director Wolfgang Höpken. The articles are in English, with abstracts in German and French.  It deals with the versions of history being taught in schools around the world.and thus is of primary importance to the WAIS Learning History project. The fourth quarter 2003 issue is devoted to "Teaching History in the Middle East", while the first quarter 2004 issue is devoted to Algeria, especially in its relation to France. They are guides to the teaching of history in the various types of school in the Middle East. In Western countries like the US there are loud complaints that students are ignorant of history and show little interest in it.  Are the same complaints heard in Muslin countries?  In the US history professors attempt to arouse students' interest by with dramatic accounts of dramatic  events, like the assassination of Lincoln. Do Arab teachers resort to the same tricks?  What events are selected for these dramatic presentations? This whole subject of the teaching of history around the world is extremely important.  Every university and college library should subscribe to Internationale  Schulbuchforschung/International Textbook Research-

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

HAlliburton and Dick Cheney

Randy Black replied to John Heelan: "During the time when he was CEO of Halliburtom, Cheney complained the sanctions "are nearly always motivated by domestic political pressure, the need for Congress to appeal to some domestic constituency"." John Heelan retorts:"It is good of Randy Black to confirm that Dick Cheney agrees with RH that US foreign policy is governed by  the need to "appeal to some (US) domestic constituency".   However, Cheney's comment does cause a problem for him.   Does it not imply that rather than removing Iraq's WMD or bringing democracy to the Iraqi people,  the Iraq War was an "appeal to domestic constituency".  That constituency would not by any chance be either the neo-conservatives, or the pro-Zionist lobby or the military- industrial combine or the oil industry- or perhaps all four?  If so, Cheney would appear to be, Heaven forfend, demonstrating his hypocrisy".

Re: Ideology is dandy, but bizness is bizness (encore)

Randy Black replied to John Heelan: "I am delighted that Mr. Heelan brings up another half-truth regarding Vice President Cheney and his actions as CEO of Halliburton. Halliburton's contracts with Libya and Iran predate his appointment as CEO by several years.  John Heelan retorts: "In his zeal for accuracy, perhaps Randy Black would like to consult CBS News which said  on August 19 2004:" Halliburton is the company that Vice President Dick Cheney used to run. He was CEO in 1995 to 2000, during which time Halliburton Products and Services set up shop in Iran. Today, it sells about $40 million a year worth of oil field services to the Iranian Government."
[http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/01/22/60minutes/main595214.shtm]l"

RE: The origin of the rúbrica

Christopher Jones comments on my piece about the origin of the Spanish rúbrica: "This is a very interesting and artistic if non explored subject.  The "rúbrica" is also alive and well and living in France and Italy, but nowhere is it so venerated as in all the Spains!  In fact, a signature without a rúbrica is probably still invalid, whereas a rúbrica without a signature is passed off as a signature.  Do not forget that a legal document in France must be signed "lu et approuvé" plus your signature, while in Italy a "carta di impegno" is practically a declaration of semi-slavery.  I have seen some very elaborate if completely illegible "rúbricas" that are still used to this day.  I hesitate to return to Salvador Dalí but his former secretary, the erudite and charming British army Captain John Peter Moore once published a book called, Les 678 très riches signatures de Salvador Dalí, marqués de Dalí de Pubol, which shows what happens when imagination hits a fan called the "rúbrica." PS: Yes, I sign with one too for over 30 years: I'm 47".

competition, war and Taoism

Margaret Mackenzie fills a gap in WAISdom by calling attention to Taoism, the religion of the Chinese who were dissatisfied with Confucianism. The Communist government banned it as incompatible with the official ideology, while praising Confucius as a promoter of civic virtues. Another reason for the ban was that Taoism was the religion of many secret societies. Tao Te Ching by Tao Tzu is the most important work of Taoism.  Does any WAISer have information about the present status of Taoism in China.?  Chinese militarism, most recently manifest in the parade of 3,000 troops in Hong Kong, suggests that Taoism is completely out of tune with the present government.  Can anyone tell us if Taoism survives in Chinese colonies abroad, such as San Francisco's Chinatown?

Margaret writes from the historic Swiss town of Rapperswil, located on a peninsula jutting into Lake Zürich.  It is now a holiday resort, and I assume that Margaret's audience consisted chiefly of tourists.  I don't know how the local people would react to Taoism, since the area was the scene of bitter Protestant-Catholic hostilities.  Zürich was Protestant, while Einsiedeln with its famous monastery was and is strongly Catholic. I have mixed feelings about Einsiedeln, since the monks would not let me see its famous library on the grounds that it was private.  They probably dismissed as one more tourist. I was directed to a hall where they show a movie about the history of the shrine. 

Margaret writes: "Your posting about victory and defeat reminded me of chapter 31 of the Tao Te Ching, which as I'm sure you know is of  uncertain authorship and date--at least 800 BC, but probably much more ancient as an
oral tradition.  This is the translation by Gia Fu Feng and Jane English. 
 
Good weapons are instruments of fear; all creatures hate them.
Therefore followers of Tao never use them.
The wise man prefers the left.
The man of war prefers the right.
Weapons are instruments of fear; they are not a wise man's tools.
He uses them only when he has no choice.
Peace and quiet are dear to his heart,
And victory no cause for rejoicing.
If you rejoice in victory, then you delight in killing;
If you delight in killing, you cannot fulfill yourself.

On happy occasions precedence is given to the left,
On sad occasions to the right.
In the army the general stands on the left,
The commander-in-chief on the right.
This means that war is conducted like a funeral.
When many people are being killed,
They should be mourned in heartfelt sorrow.
That is why a victory must be observed like a funeral.

I have just used this in an introductory show I had here in Rapperswil--written in Chinese, German (translation by Richard Wilhelm, which I won't attach) and English on paintings I did for it".

RH:Taoism favors the left.  What does that mean? The right hand signifies authority. Can someone remind us of the argument as to whether ecclesiastical blessing should be give with then right or left hand? Was the Fascist/Nazi/falangista salute given with the  right or left arm?

Hydraulic Oil Well Pump Undergoing Near-Flawless Field Testing

Steve Torok calls attention to this report: "A new hydraulic pump currently undergoing  field tests at Department of Ebergy’s Rocky Mountain Oilfield Testing Center could reduce the operating  cost of high-volume offshore oil wells by 40 percent, adding to America’s oil reserves and energy security by prolonging the life of  mature oil fields. For more details, link to the DOE Fossil Energy Web Site at: http://www.fossil.energy.gov-  RH:California and Florida have offshore oil fields, but pressure from environmentalists prevents their development. Economic pressure will probably force the US to exploit all its oil and gas resources. The idea that sun and wind can make up for our oil shortages seems unrealistic.

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Evasion of the law by unternational corporations.

I said; "Corporations using their international networks to evade the law should be brought to justice, but apparently lawyers know what they can get away with". Steve Torok comments: "The problem (or opportunity?) is that no national law can be enforced beyond geographical borders, and no effective international law exists, except case law, dependent on treaties and the case load of international courts. It is a genuine gray area, where the nation state is obsolete, and no effective global organization outside the United Nations exists! Multinational corporations are more advanced than nation states in an organizational sense, and in terms of their geographic, and time, horizons. They could be effectively regulated only under United Nations auspices. Or they maybe destroyed by ideologically and financially motivated nation states, as the Templars were destroyed in the thirteenth century by the king of France!"
 

Wednesday, August 18, 2004

Ideology is dandy, but bizness is bizness (encore)

From the UK, John Heelan writes: "In its report on the grand jury investigation into Halliburton's business dealings with  Iran,  El País correspondent in Miami, Rosa Townsend, comments that US law on dealing with terrorist States is ambiguous. Apparently US companies can avoid the restrictions on dealing with the "axis of evil" states by having a subsidiary registered in another country and not run by a US national.  El País claims to have seen 14 requests for equipment emanating from Kala Ltd, a subsidiary of  Iran's national oil business, to Halliburton Products and Services, registered in the Cayman Islands and operating from Dubai; the equipment being for the Iranian oil fields and worth $80 million in the last year alone.  The newspaper claims that Halliburton negotiated also with Libya and Iraq for contracts of $70 million while Cheney was CEO between 1995 and 2000 and points out that Halliburton was fined $3.8 million for violating US embargoes on Libya.  Further, it claims that Cheney pressured the Clinton Administration to soften the embargoes on Libya and Iran. [Source: El País, 7/ 21/04]".

RH:International networks used to evade the law should be brought to justice, but apparently lawyers know what they can get away with.

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

The dumbing down of Britann?

We hear a great deal about the dumbing down af American schools and the widespread ignorance of the basic facts of American history.  Now Les Robinson has sent me an article from the Christian Science Monitor (8/12/04) titled "The dumbing down of Britain?", and the arguments are just like those in the US. TV has replaced reading. When I went to Oxford universities were very selective, whereas now the government talks of sending 50% of children to university, which inevitably brings with it a lowering of standards. The large number of poorly educated immigrants adds to the problem. The trouble is not new. In high school athletes were heroes, while bright studious youths were dismissed as "swots" (geeks, a word whose origin I cannot find). I think they were secretly envied, since they were more likely to succeed in life.  Good speech is ridiculed, and certainly the cult of good speech has suffered in many countries because of the egalitarian impulse, which has debased culture to mean whatever a society does, regardless of standards.

A serious aspect of this dumbing down is its impact on politics. The US was founded as a republic, but it has become a Jacksonian democracy.  Hence the rabble-rousing speeches which characterize the present presidential campaign. In Venezuela Hugo Chavez has shown the system produces results there too. We assume the world is moving toward healthy democracies. Will demagoguery lead to the creation of mobocracies?  Is this one aspect of globalization?

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Re: SPORTS: The tour de Framce, the Olympics

Daryl DeBell writes: "I'm afraid that RH is struggling in a rear-guard action in a hopeless cause in his essays against sports, and particularly the Tour de France. There is no accounting for tastes, and being a fan (fanatic) is a perfect example. Nearly all games, including non-physical ones, are competitive, from tiddley-winks to fighting, and appeal to people on that basis. They can be understood as substitutes for war or other manifestations of combat, and as such should be of interest to WAISers They provide (usually) harmless experiences of victory and defeat. Personally I admire Armstrong's survival of a deadly cancer, and his courageous and dedicated striving and success at even competing again, let alone being successful. All sports can be denigrated as pointless or worse. Mark Twain scorned golf I believe, saying something like; it was "something that spoiled a good walk". But he overlooked the fact that most golfers get considerable satisfaction from seeing a well hit ball go flying through the air for hundreds of yards in the direction they aimed it. Is there anything in the world less important to everyone else in the world than that event, except to the golfer and those who identify with him? I think that participation in sports, even vicariously as an observer, provides an opportunity for the gratification of primary narcissistic aims on two levels, the first on the level of simple successful performance; the good feeling one gets from doing anything well, and second on the level of 'victory'; the elation one feels when one wins at anything. Sports provide opportunity for such experiences. War does too, but at hideous cost".

RH: I have an enormous admiration for Armstrong, who exemplifies the virtue of fortitude.

SPORTS: The tour de Framce, the Olympics

A favorite act of a well-known comedian was to play "The Lost Chord" on a grand piano.  He would open up the piano and tear it apart, looking for the lost chord. I felt like that this morning when I was searching literally through thousands of e-mails looking for Dick Payne's defense of the Tour de France. I found it, Eureka! Incidentally, I am happy to report that his good wife Pat is back home after recovering from her accident in Winchester, England. On the other hand, I am sorry to report that Jim Tent is entering hospital for a serious operation.  I wished him good luck in the name of WAIS.  Dick will forgive me if I am unconvinced by his defense of the Tour de France:

"The Tour de France, said to have attracted more spectators than any other sport and to be the most strenuous of all, has been characterized as 'idiotic' in this space, and it would be enlightening to know by what criteria the judgement was made, surely not by the fact that drugs and commercialization have tainted this sport for all popular sports seem to have undergone the same fate. Are golf and tennis equally absurd by these standards? Though the Tour has been the French national sport par excellence, it is now dominated by foreign riders ‹ most notably the American Lance Armstrong ‹ so that its purview is no longer that within the national boundaries of France ‹ once again a sign of globalization. Baseball and American football have been the national sports in the USA but soccer is making inroads because of the American team competing in the world cup finals and the large Mexican immigrant population that has organized and supported soccer teams at a local levels . It may be pertinent to go beyond mere value judgements and analyze those national sports, which have not yet been contaminated, if indeed there are any. Even a minor sport on the world stage, cricket, once a British sport, a heritage of the colonized from the colonials, particularly those of Indian subcontinent where the subjugated of the past outplay their former masters, has also had its share of scandal. All these permutations may presage changes in world societies and  cultures, as Huizinga pointed our in his brilliant, albeit flawed study about the  significance of games for civilizations".

RH:The Tour de France is mostly a test of legs and endurance. The racers are human mules, and like mules they are interested only in the road they are following. I bicycled with my eyes wide open all over France, and in addition through Belgium, Holland, Germany, Austria,  Italy, Spain and Portugal. I have on a wall the large map of France which served me so well. I also had the relevant Baedekers to enlighten me, I have in my hand now the one on Spain and Portugal.  I used not only my legs, but my eyes and my head. My main interest was Gothic architecture, and I have from those times a large collection of postcards.  Go you understand now why I think the Tour de France mules were wasting their time?

My attitude toward the Olympics is similar to that toward the Tour de France.  In both cases, the abuse of drugs has been a major concern. The Economist ( (8/7-13/04) "celebrated" the Olympics with a long article on the subject; the theme of the cover was "Drugs and the Olympics". I watched a ping pong match in which little Chinese jumped like madmen around a table trying to hit a small plastic ball.  I watched a wrestling match in which two fat men slammed each other on the floor while the crowd roared. Devoid of such brutality was the swimming contest I watched, an event which would make fish laugh. I am afraid I do not have the competitive spirit  The aim of a sports contest is not simply to do well oneself, which is commendable. It is to defeat someone else, and gloat privately while the defeated try to show that they are good sports. Sports can be judged by the amount of violence.  If you have been knocked unconscious in a boxing match, it must be difficult to congratulate the winner.

As for Johan Huizinga, the great exponent of the Middle Ages, games played a minor place in this vision of things.  He was imprisoned by the Nazis during World War II.  Hitler sponsored the 1936 Olympics at which the Germans won 33 gold medals.  They beat the other countries! What a great sporting event!

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Tuesday, August 17, 2004

US-Mexican border

Randy Black writes: "The claim in the Temecula article that border security has not been stepped up, may or may not be true in Temecula, but certainly is not true along the Texas-Mexican border. I am visiting Jaqui White near the border in south Texas near Brownsville and this is all the locals talk about. Border security at Brownsville is much more strict that it was in the past. In west Texas, entire Mexican villages are withering away because of the lack of ability of the Mexicans to travel freely back and forth to their Texas jobs, as they have for decades, in areas that are too remote to justify a US Border Patrol Entry Station, and the lack of tourism from the Americans and Canadians who can no longer informally cross the border in the areas that are hundreds of miles from the nearest official border crossing station.
 
In Texas' Big Bend National Park, the nation's largest, informal crossings at Boquillas Canyon near the US Ranger Station deep in the National Park, and up the Rio Grande between Terlingua and Persidio, the tiny desert resort hotels and cafes on the Texas side will not survive without their Mexican staffs, who are accustomed to wading or paddling across in a small boat daily to their US jobs, having done so for decades, to work in the small Texas resort areas. And there are simply not enough Americans to staff such rural outposts. Thus, the Mexicans will starve and the hotels and cafes will become simply more ghost towns.
 
These are not terrorists. These are simply humble Mexicans living without electricity or running water in Mexico who must swim,walk, paddle the river daily, in both directions to support their families. The Mexican government has no interest in their plight and provides nothing, not even paved roads to their villages".

Re: Media making news instead of reporting it

Mike Sullivan was appalled by newspmen who tried to rent a helicopter to test airport security.  I said I agreed with Mike, but that no reputable print journalist would get involved in such antics. From the UK. John Heelan writes: "Unfortunately there are many  journalists working for the UK's gutter press who make their (dis)reputation by indulging in such antics.  In the last year, I can recall journalists posing as servants of the Royal Household, attempting to get onto aircraft carrying sharp implements, conducting sex/drug sting operations on so-called celebrities and so on. Not ethical but sells newspapers!"  RH: John is right, I was appalled by the  newsman who got a job at Buckingham Palace and then published a crude account of the daily life of the royal family.  Whatever happened to him?  The British libel laws are strict, but I do not know about the privacy laws.  The UK has more than its share of gutter press, but I reaffirm my statement about "reputable print journalist".

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Media making news instead of reporting it

Mike Sullivan forwards this piece with the comment;  "This is the kind of media grandstanding that destroys their credibility and points toward their anti Administration agenda by trying to make newly formed Transportation Security Agency (TSA) look inept.  I hope NBC finds out how well the training has progressed by the huge fine they will be facing". "NBC staffers arrested in airport ploy. Caught with maps, lighter and box cutter

Two NBC News staffers were arrested Wednesday at St. Louis Downtown Airport when they attempted to demonstrate whether a terrorist could rent a helicopter. The New York producer and cameraman portrayed themselves as tourists who wanted to rent a charter helicopter to visit sites such as the Arch, airport director Bob McDaniel said. Arleane Thomas, vice president of Fostaire Helicopters at the airport, called the police after the two NBC staffers tried to rent a helicopter using driver's licenses from two different states, and >then tried to pay cash for the sessions, which cost between $750-$875 per hour. Sauget Police officers and FBI agents responded moments after Thomas made the call and the two NBC employees were taken into custody. Officers searched their belongings and discovered a box cutter, a butane lighter, maps and a white powder which turned out to be baby powder. They're trained so that when you see something you know who to call and (Thomas) was right on target," said Bill Switzer federal security director for the Department of Homeland Security at Lambert-St. Louis International Airport.
 
Switzer said his department has done extensive training for airport employees in the St. Louis region.  "Everything worked well. (Thomas) called the right people and they were able to respond in a timely manner. It was very, very
effective," Switzer said. Allison Gullust, a spokesman for NBC, said NBC wanted to see how employees at helicopter charter companies would respond to suspicious behavior. The two NBC staffers were part of two teams performing tests on a helicopter charter companies in the St. Louis region and in New York. "Helicopter security has been a focus of public attention this week, following the latest set of government warnings about potential terrorist targets," Gullust said. "In Illinois the employees did what they were trained to do." St. Louis Downtown Airport is the region's second busiest general aviation terminal next Lambert Airport, with 175,000 takeoffs and landings each year. McDaniel said he was elated that the airport personnel acted in such an effective and timely manner, but felt that NBC's actions were extreme. "It's an absolute outrage that we have people in the media trying to create news instead of report it," McDaniel said".
http://www.mercurynews.com/mld/mercurynews/news/world/9393244.htm?1c

RH: I agree with Mike, but no reputable print journalist would get involved in such antics.

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

RE:SPAIN: Societal Change, Salazar and Franco

Hank Levin reports: "I stayed at our home in Catalonia for two months, with a side trip to Oporto for a conference, before returning just now.  Certainly, Christopher Jones has selected a problem area that Spain will have to cope with.  I did notice more immigrants this year than last, although not the intensity that Christopher observed farther north.  I think that the official count of immigrants is only about 7 percent in Catalonia, but the actual percentage is probably far higher because not all are registered.  Registration is encouraged in order to obtain health services and schooling.  Thus far the Spanish government has not done much to discourage undocumented persons other than allowing regions to refuse to provide free education after the compulsory period ends at age 16.  Although workers are supposed to be documented, the black (underground) economy is so prevalent in Spain that it is not difficult for them to be hired off-the-books.  Christopher does not mention Latin Americans, but we saw many, in the Barcelona region, especially from Ecuador and Peru.  According to the newspapers, it appears that a high proportion of crime is attributable to immigrants.  There is a certain ambivalence to the immigrants.  It is recognized that most of them take jobs that most Spanish would not take.  Further, Spain has the second lowest birthrate in Western Europe, way below the level needed for replacement to maintain a constant population.  The immigrants have much larger families than the Spanish, providing potential future workers to support the pensions and health care of an aging population.  Publicly there is not much criticism of immigrants except in those cases where their customs defy Spanish law.  Privately I heard many concerns about immigrants, concerns similar to what one heard traditionally about the Gitanos.  Mahgrebis are commonly called Moors, a word that is replete with negative historical emotions for the Spanish.  As an outsider, my overwhelming feeling is that immigration is largely out-of-control, and the Spanish do not have a plan for addressing it in any fashion.
 
On other matters, we found that the most talked about topics were:
 
1-       The commission hearings investigating the Al Quaeda train bombings, and the quick conclusion of the Partido Popular (Aznar’s party) of ETA responsibility.  Police testimony stated that within hours the police had doubts that the bombings were by ETA.  But, even three days later the Interior Minister was telling the media that ETA was implicated, despite considerable evidence to the contrary.  Surprisingly, the former Interior Minister testified just this past week and hinted that he still believes that ETA was involved. 
2-       The Parliament has given approval to gay marriage and gay adoption, a very controversial subject with the PP and Church being outspoken in their opposition.  This approval moved much more quickly than I expected, given the strength of the opposition.
3-       There are daily articles highlighting traffic deaths due to speeding.  In a very recent survey, more than 80 percent of Spanish drivers reported driving over the speed limit on a habitual basis.  The government is now pondering some very serious sanctions, including easier license revocation for speeding and much higher fines as well as a public relations effort to reduce speeding (good luck on that one).
4-       The concern on obesity has hit Spain.  Although Europeans, generally, and the Spanish, specifically, comment on fat Americans, the statistical data for Spain look fairly similar.  A very high proportion of the Spanish population is overweight, and a rising proportion qualifies as obese (morbidly overweight).  It is a serious health issue.  Visually, the pattern appears different from thay in the U.S. where we seem to have a more nearly even age distribution of overweight persons.  In Catalonia, overweight among young women is rare.  Indeed, anorexia is a problem and other eating disorders.  But, starting in the late twenties one sees a bulking up among woman and by the thirties among many men.  Boys also tend to be slender, but seem to bulk up later.  In the U.S. there is a serious problem of weight among the young with a rising incidence of Type 2 diabetes that is less prevalent in Spain.  One does not see the health club phenomenon in Spain that one sees in the U.S., at least in California and New York. 
5-       Prior to the election of the Socialist government, the PP had big plans to bring water from the North (Rio Ebro) to the South, especially to Valencia, Murcia, and Almeria.  The anger in the North, especially Aragon and Catalunya, was palpable, and the issue was hotly debated politically and in the Press.  The Zapatero government cancelled those plans and is pushing for desalinization as a solution.  However, as I understand this, the energy costs will be substantial and there will be environmental problems as serious as with the Ebro diversions, just different problems.  Apparently, desalinization to scale will require tremendous numbers of high tension wires which will demand “right-of-way” and create electromagnetic fields (an issue discussed previously by WAISers).  It will also require huge investments in infrastructure for desalinization and transport of water.  Nothing seems to be settled.  This looks to me like Northern versus Southern California, déjà vu.  Real estate developers and agri-business in the south of Spain are marshaling resources to get the water from the North.
 
Finally, other than the awful musical tastes of the young (as in the States), the loud noises of M80 (petardos) fireworks, and the excessive piercing of all parts of the face and body and display of tattoos of the youth, we enjoyed ourselves in Spain.  As I mentioned in a previous message, the lifestyle seems much healthier and satisfying to us than what we observe in the U.S., with more focus on social relationships and somewhat less on consumption.  One other observation.  Although Catalunya has discovered recycling, the practice of throwing candy wrappers, gum wrappers, bottles, cans, and such persists.  The Catalans blame it on the immigrants, but we saw plenty of cases of natives doing the lazy thing, even when refuse canisters were nearby.  The recycling in our village was so complicated that no one fully understands it.  Each night one puts out different types of rubbish: organic, plastics, glass, carton and paper, and metal.  Three nights a week is devoted to organic;  one night a week for the other things.  However, if you get confused and put out the wrong thing, it sits there and gets a label attached telling you that you defied the regimen.  Given the amount of wine served at meals and the beers and soft drinks as antidotes to the hot weather, bottles and cans accumulate rapidly, but must wait for proper disposal.  Most homes that we visited had many sacks of all of the above waiting for the appropriate night".

IRAN and its mullahs

WAIS will pay more attention to Iran, which is now in the crosshairs of Israel and sees no reason why it should be a sitting duck.  One problem is that the mullahs are not very nice people, witness the obituary of Sadeq Khalkhali, the "hanging judge" whose obituary appeared in The Economist (12/13/03). His victims were often supporters of the Shah, like Amir Abbas Hoveida, who was tried and executed in secret. "Executioner Khalkhali" was associated with the seminary at Qom as a student and later as a teacher. He belonged to the generation of young mullahs who were imprisoned or exiled by the Shah.  They were now getting their revenge.  How the mullahs seized power on the fall of the Shah is an interesting story. Iran could have been taken over by pro-Soviet radicals.  The theory is that "the West·" (?) supported the mullahs to prevent that. It sounds singularly like Afghanistan, where the US supported and armed groups which morphed into the Taliban.  Iran and Afghanistan provide excellent examples of the law of unforeseen consequences.

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

RE: SPAIN, AMERICA AND DISEASES

Regarding the theory that Spaniards brought diabetes to America, Linda Nyquist writes; "Diabetes is not a communicable disease".  RH: Of course not. The theory is that when Spaniards interbred with  Indian women they transmitted the genes.

Bob Crow returns from Europe

Bob Crow returns from Europe: "I am back from France, Budapest and Prague and from California's High Sierras.  In Europe, we met with unfailing courtesy and friendliness -- no hint of anti-Americanism.  However, we found no sympathy with the Bush administration's foreign policy, which was regarded with some combination of bewilderment, fear and derision.  Several people -- Germans and French -- wanted to know why the U.S. had learned so little from Vietnam. The squirrels and bears in the Sierras were noncommittal". RH:  We look forward to a more detailed report.

Monday, August 16, 2004

Aspalaga, Florida

The origin of American place names continues to fascinate.  Phil Stover says: "Aspalaga was a settlement on the Apalachicola River in the panhandle of Florida.  It was also the name of an old Spanish Mission just east of Tallahassee (St. Juan de Aspalaga).  I have been unable to trace the source of this word.  Does anyone on this list know if it was a physical location in Spain?"  RH:I suspect that "aspalaga" is a variant of  "aspalato", meaning a place where plants of the same family as the broom and rosemary grow.  Someone should go to the settlement and inspect the vegetation.  Does Alfredo Gutiérrez have any comment on the word?

Re: OIL

The media brim with warnings of the consequences of oil reaching $50 a barrel.  French oil expert Martin Storey discusses the industry's problems: "I write as a breaking news is "Shell target of Total bid".  This would be "le comble" as we say in French.  Total (until recently known as TotalFinaElf), was in the first half of the 20th century a large and successful company under the name Compagnie Francaise des Petroles.  Then it withered, only to be reborn in the nineties under the management of a true oil-man, Thierry Desmarest.  In 1999, Total stunned the world by taking over Petrofina, the Belgium national oil company, then, a few weeks later, Elf Aquitaine, the French national oil company.  Now, perhaps, Shell, until recently and for decades, the largest oil company in terms of turnover and production (tied with Exxon).  Fascinating industry...

Going back a few weeks, WAIS posted an apocalyptic document from Topica. which I don't know. There are certainly plenty of reputable organisations to get figures and facts from, but what they write about is nothing surprising: all wells have a declining production from the moment they start producing, and many wells "go to water" slowly or suddenly, and eventually have to be shut down when the production of water makes the well uneconomical, by whatever criterion the operating company may have.  This can be delayed a bit by "beaning back" the well, i.e. letting the well produce below its capacity.Upscaling to the scale of a field, the decline problem is mitigated by
drilling more wells to take over the production of the declining wells.  If the figure on the last page of the document is correct for Ghawar: OOIP=145GB (meaning: oil originally in place, 145 billion barrels), then it must be the biggest field in the world, which may well be the case. The drawings on the last page show a normal decline curve for the oil
production, and if water production were plotted too, it would be a mirror image (in the vertical sense): as oil production decline, water production increases, with the total liquid production staying approximately the same.  There's nothing that is not known by everyone involved in Saudi or in the oil industry, and nothing to panic about. 

A big problem the oil and gas industry has been putting up with in the past 15 years or so, is a fundamental misunderstanding from the part of the ever more influential shareholders, who want to manage the oil shares in their portfolio, as they do the dotcom shares.  The oil industry has life cycles of 10, 20, 30, 50 or more years, and hardly
anything less.  Between the time an oil field is discovered and the time it's been produced (and hence, the investors have recouped and cashed in), there's rarely less than 15 years, often much, much longer.  The gas industry has hardly any life cycle less than 20 years.  Nothing happens fast, unless it's negative and we make it happen (e.g. if
something serious happened in Saudi Arabia).  That being said, the markets seem to think that things are changing just now, as in "today", so oil recently hit US$46/bbl. 

Has oil ever been that expensive?  No, not in money of the day, but in discounted (i.e. today's) dollars, it has: in the 70's, around the time of the iranian revolution, when it it >$40 which is about $80 of today's US$.  How much oil have we got left?  The world's oil reserves-to-production ratio was 41 years in 2003, down around 6% from the peak of 43.7 years in 1989.  Both proved reserves and production have increased since 1989,  by 12.5% and 20% respectively.  North America and Asia Pacific are responsible for 90% of the increase in oil production in the past 10
years. For lots of hard statistical info on the industry, see http://www.spe.org/spe/jsp/basic/0,,1104_1718,00.html
For all the useful historical statistics about production, price, etc, about all sources of energy (inc. renewables):
http://www.bp.com/subsection.do?categoryId=95&contentId=2006480 In particular:
http://www.bp.com/liveassets/bp_internet/globalbp/globalbp_uk_english/publications/energy_reviews/STAGING/local_assets/downloads/spreadsheets/statistical_review_of_world_energy_full_report_workbook_2004.xls

While we're on the subject of the oil industry, you may find it amusing that it carried out research on the potential of nuclear explosions to stimulate gas production from low-yielding reservoirs.  That was in the early 70's (before the first oil shock) and it was led by the US Bureau of Mines in cooperation with the Atomic Energy Commission.  Thankfully, this has not come to anything". 

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Re: Jesus illiterate?

Was Jesus illiterate?  Anthony Smith, president of Magdalen College, Oxford, writes: "See the Gospel of St. John, Chapter 8, 1-11. Twice it says that Jesus knelt and wrote in the sand, in the presence of the woman taken in
adultery, "Let him who is without sin cast the first stone". You need to be quite good at the art of writing to be able to write legibly in sand.  It suggests that Jesus was far from illiterate".

Temecula meeting - continue the protests

Few Americans are aware of the seriousness of the situation on the US-Mexican border.  There are loud protests in the Mexican Congress against the US Border Patrol.  Instead, Mexico should put its own house in order. I am full of sympathy for the poor Mexicans who enter the country illegally. often paying  $1,000 or more to Mexican  human smugglers. Mexico should start a program to allow them to start businesses in Mexico. Virginia Abernethy forwards this: "BVICK [mailto:bvick@cox.net] writes, "Here are a few of the news stories about the 8/13/04 meeting in Temecula. Your letters to these and other papers [similar letter to all is OK] are one more demonstration of the outrage in the general population at tap-dancing political hacks.  You know the drill: even if your letter is not printed, it WILL BE COUNTED by that newspaper.  Ditto for your contacts to DHS - fry the phone, fax, & e-mail lines into those officials.  Contact info for some officials at bottom of this page. Start your pitchforks, fellow citizens. Our fathers bled-out their blood & endured the horrors of war, so that we might have these freedoms. "
 
Inland Valley Daily Bulletin online letter form http://www.dailybulletin.com/Stories/0,1413,203%257E23145%257E,00.html
http://www.dailybulletin.com/Stories/0,1413,203~21481~2333869,00.html
Crowd fired up about immigration enforcement -- Emotional audience criticizes officals and policies
By BRENDA GAZZAR, STAFF WRITER
TEMECULA - Enforcement of the nation's immigration laws has not been impeded and has even been stepped up, a Homeland Security official told an emotionally charged gathering of about 1,000 on Friday.

North County Times opinion@nctimes.com
http://www.nctimes.com/articles/2004/08/14/news/top_stories/20_41_308_13_04.txt
Cheers, jeers at immigration town hall meeting3f4cc9.gif
By: EDWARD SIFUENTES - Staff Writer
TEMECULA ---- A town hall meeting that was supposed to ease concerns about illegal immigration in the region left many frustrated with top federal officials.
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Los Angeles Times letters@latimes.com
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-immig14aug14,1,2133899.story?coll=la-headlines-california
Unfetter Border Patrol, Angry Group Demands 
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The Desert Sun  online letter form http://www.thedesertsun.com/opinion/lettersubmitter.shtml
http://www.thedesertsun.com/news/stories2004/state/20040814030917.shtml
Border Patrol pulls controversial unit from inland cities [Deputy U.S. Border Patrol Chief Paul Blocker, who is in charge of the mobile unit, told reporters after the public meeting that the 12-member team is working in southern San Diego County, close to the boundary between the United States and Mexico, because the agency’s top priority right now is to prevent terrorists from entering the country. ]
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Orange County Register letters@ocregister.com
http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/C/CA_IMMIGRATION_ENFORCEMENT_CAOL-?SITE=CAANR&SECTION=STATE&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT
Border Patrol's Southern California interior unit pulled back  [ Hutchinson was nearly drowned out at times by shouts and catcalls from an audience of more than 800 who demanded sterner measures against illegal immigrants.]
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Mercury News letters@mercurynews.com
Border Patrol's Southern California interior unit pulled back
San Jose Mercury News (subscription), CA - 10 hours ago
TEMECULA, Calif. - A Border Patrol unit that provoked outrage among Hispanic activists by making more than 400 arrests of suspected ...
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Riverside Press Enterprise letters@pe.com
Vocal crowd presses for renewed sweeps
Press-Enterprise (subscription), CA - 9 hours ago
IMMIGRATION: A federal official is swamped with Inland complaints about the halt of the roundups. By HENRI BRICKEY and ELIZABETH ...
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San Diego Union Tribune letters@uniontrib.com
http://www.signonsandiego.com/uniontrib/20040814/news_1mi14sweeps.html
Meeting on illegal immigration gets heated
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San Francisco Chronicle letters@sfchronicle.com
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/news/archive/2004/08/14/state0314EDT1005.DTL
Border Patrol's Southern California interior unit pulled back 
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Call Toll Free 877-287-8667 - Press zero to skip the long menu and get to an operator  ...or call 202-354-1000 - Press zero to skip the long menu and get to an operator dhsfeedback@dhs.gov
Contact Asa Hutchinson, Undersecretary for Border & Transportation Security and tell him that you want the Border Patrol to do their job! Call at 202-282-8010 [alternate number as of 7/12/04: 202-282-8077], Fax 202-282-8408, or e-mail him at asa.hutchinson@dhs.gov. Also, contact Robert Bonner, Commissioner, U.S. Customs and Border Protection who sent out a memo for the Border Patrol to stop the sweeps at homeland@mail.house.gov or robert.bonner@dhs.gov
Contact your Congressman http://www.house.gov/writerep/     or toll free at 877-762-8762
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U.S. Department of Justice
AskDOJ@usdoj.gov
Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger http://www.americanpatrol.com/CALIFORNIA/GovernorContactInfo-CA_.html

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Jesus illiterate?

U was surprised, indeed slightly shocked by NushIn Namazi's statement that Jesus was illiterate,  Jon Huyck comments: "My first reaction was that Jesus could certainly read.  The Gospel of Luke speaks of him reading from Isaiah in the synagogue in Nazareth - chapter 4, verses 16-19.  A close reading of the passage in question, however, does not actually say that Jesus read.  It simply says that he "stood up to read" and "found the place where it was written" and then recited from Isaiah.  This leaves two possible ways to read the passage: 1) Jesus was indeed literate and read from Isaiah on that day.  2) He was somehow divinely guided to the right page and then recited the passage from memory or divine inspiration.   This seems a stretch, however, so I would tend to go with his being literate.  Of course, this assumes that the Gospel of Luke is providing an accurate report of what happened that day.  If it is not accurate, then one is left to speculate as to whether a carpenter in first-century, Roman Palestine would have been literate.  On that score, I'm afraid I have no information".

RH: This is an extremely important question. Mohammed was illiterate; I assume Zarathustra was literate. This does not mean that illiterate people are stupid.  In Spain, where illiteracy was high until recently, it was recognized that illiterate peasants were often wise and spoke well. In our world literate people often read junk which does more harm than good. We must also remember the importance of memory in pre-literate societies.  People could recite long poems or stories by heart (a strange expression; it should be by memory).  Can someone tell us if the Old Testament was recited by heart in ancient Jewish society?  At the same time, the scribes and pharisees were literate and would look down on the illiterate.  We should beware of this form of pride. Compare two groups: on the one hand illiterate peasants in Spain kneeling with the arms outstretched (los brazos en cruz) in the shrine of Santiago and thinking of the grace and majesty of god, or illiterate Mexican peasants worshiping at the shrine of  the Virgin of Guadalupe. On the other hand, literate crowds in Mexico City lining up to see some trashy show,  These seem degenerate in comparison.  I strongly support literacy and education, but they should not fill us with the deadly sin of pride lest we be like the scribes and pharisees. In my ignorance I still believe that Jesus could read.  Certainly Saint Paul could, which makes his conversion to the religion of the poor and ignorant even more remarkable.

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Sunday, August 15, 2004

IRAN and the Aryans

T asked: "Do Parsis accept converts?  Originally all were converts, so it is hard to understand their alleged refusal.  I suspect that it may be racial.  The Persians viewed themselves as Aryans and therefore superior to the surrounding ethnic groups.  Since we know so little about these matters, clarification from experts including Ed Jajko would be appreciated."  Expert Ed Jajko repies: "I have problems with this paragraph, including the designation of myself as an "expert."  RH suspects that the alleged refusal of Parsis to accept converts "may be racial.  The Persians viewed themselves as Aryans and therefore superior to the surrounding ethnic groups."  It seems to me there are a couple of logical fallacies in the highly compressed sentences of this paragraph.  "Aryan" is a word that has taken on unfortunate connotations thanks to a twentieth-century history that Iranians had little, if anything, to do with. "Aryan" was an ethnic or tribal designation dating from at least Achaemenid times and is of course the source of the name "Iran."  That Persians may have viewed themselves as Aryans, hence superior, is about the same as their contemporaries, the Greeks calling anyone who couldn't speak Greek but could only make uncouth noises that sounded to them like "bar, bar," "hoi barbaroi," the original barbarians.  To themselves, the Germans are the Deutsch, presumably those who speak clearly (although they have to wait until the end of the sentence to find out what the verb is, just like the Persians do).  To the Poles, the Germans are the Niemcy, the Dumb.  There are tribes, groups, peoples, who call themselves "The People" -- in contrast to everyone else.  That "the Persians viewed themselves as Aryans" -- and this is a major compression of language, history, and ethnology -- does not necessarily lead to Parsis not accepting converts. 

My wife and I spent the first week of this month in northeast Ohio.  In addition to attending five operettas and shows at the Ohio Light Opera, at the College of Wooster, we were pleased to find ourselves in Ohio's Amish country, the largest concentration of Amish and Mennonites in the US.  In Berlin -- accent on the first syllable -- we visited the Behalt, the cyclorama of Amish history in the historical center.  Having only the greatest respect for Amish and Mennonites, I listened to the lecturer as he pointed out the highlights of Christian and Mennonite history, successfully restraining myself from mentioning that from my point of view they were founded in heresy while correcting his misinformation about the fate of the Donner Party.  I mention this visit only because it was pointed out several times that the Amish do not seek and do not accept converts.  It is my understanding that the Sikh religion also does not seek or accept converts, despite the efforts of questing US college students.   Other religions set the hurdles high:  Judaism requires a painful commitment from an otherwise unprepared adult male, and while conversion to Islam is easy -- sincere profession of the "shahadah" before qualified witnesses -- changing one's mind is not, since apostasy is a capital offense in Islamic law".

RH: At Lourdes then Pope looked very frail, and I think he should resign to allow Ed to occupy the Popemobile. Surely Ed remembers that Saint Paul established the equality of all races and conditions? Belief in Aryan superiority is different in quality from the American dislike of say the French.

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Military Draft

General Michael Sullivan is usually critical of the New York times. but with the comment "An excellent article why we don't need the draft", he forwards a piece from that paper, of which here is an excerpt:

 Don't Dumb Down The Military. By Nathaniel Fick
 
WASHINGTON: I went to war as a believer in the citizen-soldier. My college study of the classics idealized Greeks who put down their plows for swords, returning to their fields at the end of the war. As a Marine officer in Afghanistan and Iraq, however, I learned that the victors on today's battlefields are long-term, professional soldiers. Thus the increasing calls for reinstating the draft - and the bills now before Congress that would do so - are well intentioned but misguided. Imposing a draft on the military I served in would harm it grievously for years.
 
For the full text of the article, see the online edition of the New York Times (7/20/04)

US policy on profiling and searches prior to flight?

Womenswallstreet is an online financial advice service for women: I had not heard of it until Mike Sullivan sent  me a very long article from it with the comment "I find it incredible that the US government's policy has made this situation possible.  Have we lost all our "danger signal" instincts and common sense?"  It is the story of a group of
 Arabs on a `plane to Los Angeles whose actions clearly indicated that they planned to take over the plane but decided not to. US government regulations prevent airlines from taking any action which might be deemed racial profiling.  For the text of this troubling story, see

Home - WomensWallStreet
... Details By Annie Jacobsen 08/11/04 This is Part V of the ongoing series entitled
"Terror in the Skies, Again?" A few days ago, WomensWallStreet.com received an ...
www.womenswallstreet.com/ - 67k - Cached - Similar pages

CUBA: Horses,cows, cats and dogs.

Alberto Gytiérrez writes; "Cuban horses were used in the war against Spaniards. The most memorable " ¡a degüello! ( to the throat without  quarter) charge took place during the battle of Mal Tiempo, near Cienfuegos, on December 15, 1895. After Cuba became a republic, a section of its army, "La Guardia Rural",  was organized following the pattern of the Royal Canadian Mounted Police. A good idea in principle. However "La Guardia Rural" sometimes didn't keep law and order . Instead their horses were used to disrupt public demonstrations and enforce the "machete plan"; beating a crowd  with the flat side of their sabres was a common practice.They abused the people, mainly the peasantry, in many other ways. Their unpopularity reached a peak during the turbulent years after the departure of President/Dictator Machado. Of course, by then the Cuban army no longer expected to participate in cavalry charges.
 
I remember a  huge mural in the lobby of the large tuberculosis sanatorium in Topes de Collantes, one of Batista's pet projects in the Escambray Mountains, depicting him two decades before at the head of a mounted regiment. Today that hospital is a hotel for tourists. But the last time I saw a large display of "La Guardia Rural"  along with a few tanks and armored cars, was during the military parade in Havana, on May 20, 1952, celebrating the 50th anniversary of the Cuban republic.
 
Few years later the horses of "La Guardia Rural " were replaced by jeeps. The Cuban Military Academy kept its stock  and the cadets remain responsible for the grooming as late as 1960. At this time I don't know what was the end of  those beautiful horses. In Cuba the current conditions endured by most horses are very sad. A few were kidnapped and eaten as result of the food scarcity. Dogs are also suffering a lot, not as much as cats. The feline population decreased by the middle of the nineties.They became "conejos trepadores" (climbing rabbits) inside the otherwise empty pots. Believe me, I am not exaggerating!.  At the same time, and in spite of the shocking reality, Castro has sold herds of Cuban cattle to other countries".

RH: Something odd here. Castro is said to have plans to import thousands of cows from Argentina.
 

CUBA;Re: Fidel and Raul duke it out, it would appear.

Tim Ashby responds: " Reports of a power struggle between Fidel and Raul Castro are spurious.  Raul's loyalty to Fidel is indeed unconditional, and Raul seems content to serve as de facto CEO of the Cuban armed forces business empire.  Lage (whom I met with in London several years go) has been managing government operations for some time, and walks a fine line between doctrinaire Marxists and reformists. Raul Castro, Cuba's defense minister and designated successor to elder brother Fidel, is chairman of Grupo de Administracion Empresarial S.A. or GAESA (Enterprise Management Group Inc.) the holding company for the Cuban Defense Ministry's vast business interests.  Among GAESA's subsidiaries are Gaviota S.A., which directly controls 20-25 percent of Cuba's hotel rooms in partnership with foreign hoteliers, and Aerogaviota, a domestic airline flown by Cuban air force pilots.   Under GAESA's management team (military officers with MBA degrees), Cuba's military-industrial complex, the Union de la Industria Militar (Defense Industry Group), provides outsourcing services, such as rental car maintenance and tour bus repairs, to foreign companies and joint ventures on the island.  Spain's Sol Melia and France's Club Mediterranee are among Gaviota's venture partners in joint management and marketing of Gaviota-owned hotels and resorts throughout Cuba.  Gaviota reportedly controls 8,539 of the island's roughly 40,000 hotel rooms. Raul is more pragmatic than Fidel and not as doctrinaire and stupid as he often seems to foreigners.  For example, he introduced the Sistema de perfeccionamiento empresarial (SPE) or œenterprise management improvement system, that streamlined the Cuban military's operations.

In November 1997, Raul Castro went to China "to learn more about China's experience in economic construction.  According to Domingo Amuchastegui, formerly with Havana's Higher Institute of International Relations, "when Raul Castro went to China [in 1997], he spent long hours talking to Zhu [Rongji, Chinese premier and architect of economic reforms under Jiang Zemin] and invited [Zhu's] main adviser to Cuba.   Some Cuba analysts see parallels between Cuba's FAR and China's People's Liberation Army (PLA), particularly with the PLA's "bingshang," or military officers turned businessmen, and their pivotal role in the Chinese authoritarian transition to a market-oriented economy. I agree with Bill Ratliff that if Raul survives Fidel he will probably establish a cooperative government or junta with several of the current top leaders, who will subsequently make him a figurehead presidente, and undertake comprehensive Chinese-style economic reforms, thus maintaining power for themselves while improving Cuba's economy.".

Kerry security advisor Berger admits he stuffed classified docs into HIS SOCKS

Randy Black provides this additional information about the Sandy Berger problem:
Version 1: Berger and his lawyer said Monday night he knowingly removed the handwritten notes by placing them in his jacket, pants and socks, and also inadvertently took copies of actual classified documents in a leather portfolio.

And: Version 2: Berger and his lawyer said Monday night he knowingly removed the handwritten notes by placing them in his jacket and pants, and also inadvertently took copies of actual classified documents in a leather portfolio.>>
http://online.wsj.com
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,126249,00.html
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-briefs20.3jul20,1,4786656.story
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/07/20/politics/20CND-BERG.html?hp
http://releases.usnewswire.com/GetRelease.asp?id=134-07202004
http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2004-07-19-berger-probe_x.htm
 

Also: The FBI searches of Berger's home and office occurred after National Archives employees said they believed they witnessed Berger placing documents in his clothing while reviewing sensitive Clinton administration papers and that some documents were missing.

Berger said he returned some classified documents that he found in his office and all of the handwritten notes he had taken from the secure room, but could not locate two or three copies of the millennium terror report.

RH: If and when Berger was exonerated, how were all these details explained away?

Your comments are invited. Read the home page of the World Association of International Studies (WAIS) by simply double-clicking on:   http://wais.stanford.edu/
E-mail to hilton@stanford.edu. Mail to Ronald Hilton, Hoover Institution, Stanford, CA 94305-6010. Please inform us of any change of e-mail address.

Re: IRAQ: Reportng on Bremer's departure speech

General Michael Sullivan wrote: "The Los Angeles Times, along with other major news sources (BBC, New York Times, Washington Post), have not been reporting fair and balanced news but have emphasized their ersonal agenda".  He cited the failure to report Paul Bremer's departure speech. From the UK, John Heelan asks: ªIs that the same Paul Bremer who failed to govern Iraq: whp left Iraq on the brink of civil war: who ensured by edict that his US commercial buddies had major contracts that could not be broken by  Iraqi puppets: who ensured by edict that his military buddies could remain outside Iraqi law: who handed over the baton of command in a quasi-secret ceremony to ex-CIA buddies and then scuttled ignominiously and unsung out of the country? If so, - who cares what he said?"
RH: This is John Heelan speaking, not WAIS.